Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Do we have a Sellers Market in San Diego?

I just finished doing my bi -monthly analysis of the market conditions in the San Diego region and I was struck by how many of the local zip codes have an inventory of less than 6 months.

If you have been following my blog you will probably remember that the mark to differentiate between a buyers and a sellers market is the months of inventory available for sale at a given time frame. Any market that has 6 months worth of inventory or above is considered to be a "Hot" market or a "sellers" market.

This morning I checked 21 different zip codes in the area and found that 12 out of those 21 had an inventory that was under the 6 month mark and only 4 had an inventory above the 10 month mark.
The other interesting factor that came to be apparent in this mornings research was that many of these areas with low inventories had sold for an average of 100 percent of asking price or more. Another clear sign of a Hot Market that we had not seen in a long time.

Among the areas with the lowest inventory rates are the following zip codes:

Zip Code Inventory
91010 3.83
91913 3.57
92010 2.9
92122 3.8


Two of this zip codes belong to Chula Vista, one more to Carlsbad and the last one is in University City.

It is not surprising that most of the areas with the hottest markets at this point are also the areas that had the highest drop in prices and the highest number in foreclosures and short sales in the county.

Now looking at the zip codes that currently have the highest inventory we see:

ZIP CODE INVENTORY
92014 9.35
92075 11.45
92037 12.4
92101 9.73
92067 33.4


Most of this areas are coastal areas or very expensive zip codes with multi million dollar homes that have an average selling price of around $400 to $500 dollars per square foot. This are homes that would require jumbo loans if someone wanted to purchase a home with a 20 or 30% down payment.

The one exception to this last statement would be the 92101 zip code that belongs to the Downtown San Diego region. The situation with downtown is different because of the recent overflow of new projects that have been built in the last few years, that include many high rises and multi unit condos that have inundated the market in that particular area.


So as a conclusion from this morning look at the Real Estate market latest numbers I must say that at least for now the market HAS shifted into a hot market in the low to mid range priced areas and is staying cool at the upper priced regions.

The question still remains what is driving this market upswing? many believe it is the first time home buyers fueled by the tax credit incentive that is about to go away. together with the low mortgage rates and investors jumping in to buy well priced properties at bottom prices.


I hope you find this information helpful and if you are interested in getting any more specific details regarding the data that was used for this Blog, please feel free to contact me.


rina@my858realtor.com
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